USD/JPY TO MOVE BACK TO 135 ON A SIX-MONTH VIEW AS BOJ MAKES A STEP TOWARDS ALTERING YCC – RABOBANK

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Economists at Rabobank discuss USD/JPY outlook.

USD to remain firm this year

Given the risks that the US could be in recession by year-end, that the Eurozone could be stagnating in H2 and in view of the disappointing pace of China’s recovery, the window of opportunity for a policy change by the BoJ is likely to be very small and potentially non-existent. 

We expect the USD to remain firm this year. Our forecast of a move back to USD/JPY 135.00 on a six-month view assumes the BoJ have made a step towards altering YCC.

 

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