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EUR/USD continues to trade well above 1.07. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.
The good demand for commodity currencies plus a re-rating of the Real, Rand and Shekel seem to suggest that investors could be moving onto their next big thing – which is the cyclical Dollar decline in the second half of the year. That happens to be our baseline view and one of the reasons we think EUR/USD will find a base in the 1.05/1.07 area this month before pushing to 1.15 by year-end.
Beyond the US data and the Fed meeting, this week's focus will be on Thursday's ECB meeting. It seems too early for the ECB to drop its inflation guard, but a hawkish Fed story could be dominating and EUR/USD could see a retest of last week's low at 1.0635
风险提示：本文所述仅代表作者个人观点，不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证，对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为，不承担任何责任，除非另有书面明确说明。
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