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President Erdoğan’s personal preference for low interest rates has caused severe damage to the Turkish economy. Economists at Danske Bank discuss TRY's outlook.
President Erdoğan’s new economic team has started monetary policy normalisation. However, reversing the course without causing more pain is all but easy, as imbalances in the economy have been building up for a while.
We expect the CBRT to gradually hike the policy rate to 25%, but at a pace insufficient to bring the real rate into the positive territory, particularly as recent TRY depreciation is expected to fuel inflation going forward.
Credit demand is expected to remain elevated, maintaining pressure on current account and Lira.
风险提示：本文所述仅代表作者个人观点，不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证，对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为，不承担任何责任，除非另有书面明确说明。
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