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Economists at Scotiabank analyze USD outlook.
The June NFP data was likely strong enough to cement a rate hike from the Fed later this month. But the trend in the US labour market is clearly slowing and investors are, at the margin, slightly less persuaded by the idea of rate hikes beyond this month’s decision. December swaps eased 7-8 bps Friday.
The weak close for the USD Friday rounded off a rough couple of days and cemented a bearish (outside range) close on the DXY on the week which tilts risks toward a generally softer USD (or limited upside potential at least) in the near to medium term.
风险提示：本文所述仅代表作者个人观点，不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证，对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为，不承担任何责任，除非另有书面明确说明。
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