USD/NOK FALLS BELOW THE 20-DAY SMA DRIVEN BY USD’S WEAKNESS

USD/NOK fell below the 20-day SMA towards the 10.6150 area.

Norwegian CPI from August came in soft.

Investors await US inflation figures on Wednesday.

At the start of the week, the USD/NOK lost the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 10.6480, near 10.6150 and then settled around 10.6470. Despite Norway reporting soft inflation data, the pair movements are explained by a US Dollar (USD) weakness across the board.

After last week’s sharp gains, the US is tallying losses against most of its rivals, including the USD, JPY, EUR and GBP, and investors seem to be taking profits. No relevant data will be released during the session, and all eyes are on Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) from August, which is expected to have accelerated. Regarding expectations on the Federal Reserve (Fed), markets already priced in a pause in next week’s meeting. However, the odds of one last hike remain high in November and December, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

On the NOK’s side, August’s CPI from Norway came in at 4.8% YoY, lower than the expected and previous figure of 5.4%. The Norges Bank stated in its last meeting that it still has more ground to cover and will likely hike in the September meeting and a hawkish stance may provide further cushion to the Norwegian currency