- The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond remains depressed near 4.275%, undermining the US Dollar and lending some support to the Gold price.
- A recession in Japan and the UK, along with continued geopolitical tensions stemming from conflicts in the Middle East, further benefit the safe-haven precious metal.
- US President Joe Biden said on Monday that he hopes to have a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war and a pause-for-hostages deal by Ramadan's beginning on March 10.
- The FOMC meeting minutes released last week and comments by several Federal Reserve officials suggested that the US central bank was in no rush to cut interest rates.
- Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said that the US central bank should be patient and wait for convincing evidence that the fight against inflation has been won.
- Markets have all but priced out the possibility of a rate cut in March and see around a 60% chance of the first 25 basis points rate cut coming at the June FOMC meeting.
- Traders now look to the US macro data due on Tuesday – Durable Goods Orders, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Richmond Manufacturing Index.
- Investors this week will also confront the release of the Prelim US Q4 GDP print on Wednesday and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Thursday.
- The latter is considered the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, which, in turn, will influence expectations about future rate cuts and provide fresh impetus to the XAU/USD.
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