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NZD/USD consolidates after the recent decline post-RBNZ meeting. Economists at OCBC Bank analyze the pair’s outlook.
Some unwinding of Kiwi longs may still be underway
For now, rates are likely to remain at restrictive level for sustained period to meet inflation objective.
Some unwinding of Kiwi longs may still be underway but after the washout, NZD remains attractive, given yield appeal as RBNZ is likely to be one of the last amongst DM central banks to cut rates.
Some degree of policy divergence with the Fed is possible in 2H 2024 and eventual stabilisation in China economy should also be supportive of NZD
风险提示:本文所述仅代表作者个人观点,不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证,对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为,不承担任何责任,除非另有书面明确说明。

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