A fall is possible.

On the daily chart, the upward first wave of the higher level (1) of 5 forms and a downward correction develops as the second wave (2) of 5, within which the wave C of (2) develops. Now, the first wave of the lower level i of C has ended, a local correction has ended as the second wave ii of C, and the third wave iii of C has started, within which the wave (i) of iii is formed. If the assumption is correct, the USD/CAD pair will fall to the area of 1.3050–1.2850. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.3609.

Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant below the level of 1.3609 with the targets at 1.3050–1.2850. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

A breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3609 will let the asset grow to the area of 1.3724–1.3854.