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The US Dollar (USD) is staging a modest recovery ahead of the US February Retail Sales print. Economists at BBH analyze how the data could impact the USD.
Market participants expect Retail Sales to rebound by 0.8% MoM in February after unexpectedly falling 0.8% MoM in January. Importantly, the Control Group Retail Sales (which exclude cars, gas, food services, and building materials and feed into the GDP calculation) is forecast to rise by 0.4% in February following a 0.4% decline the previous month.
Robust US consumer spending activity will further curtail money market expectations of Fed funds rate cuts and add upside momentum to USD. In contrast, any evidence that spending is buckling under the weight of higher interest rates and depleting excess savings can trigger another downside correction in USD.
风险提示：本文所述仅代表作者个人观点，不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证，对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为，不承担任何责任，除非另有书面明确说明。
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