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Speculation around a BoJ monetary policy shift has been building. Economists at TD Securities bring forward their call for an April hike to March.
Following the positive round of wage increases announced this week and Rengo's announcement today delivering a 5% increase in first round wage negotiations, we believe the BoJ has the information it needs to hike at next week's meeting. Accordingly, we bring forward our call for an April hike to March.
We expect USD/JPY's reaction function to be asymmetric here with a bigger move on delivering a hike (USD/JPY towards 145.00) than on a disappointment (towards 150.00) as even in the latter the BoJ can try to sound hawkish and lay the grounds for an April pivot.
风险提示：本文所述仅代表作者个人观点，不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证，对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为，不承担任何责任，除非另有书面明确说明。
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