POUND STERLING RISES AS STRONG UK Q1 GDP IMPROVES ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

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  • The Pound Sterling moves higher to 1.2540 on upbeat UK Q1 GDP and March factory data.
  • UK’s Q1 GDP growth suggests that the technical recession in 2023 was shallow.
  • Easing US labor market conditions weigh on the US Dollar.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) extends its upside to 1.2540 in Friday’s London session as the United Kingdom Office for National Statistics (ONS) posted strong preliminary Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers. The agency showed that the economy expanded at a strong rate of 0.6% against expectations of 0.4% after contracting by 0.3% in the last quarter of 2023.

Strong UK GDP growth has suggested that the technical recession observed in the second half of 2023 was shallow. Annually, the UK Q1 GDP expanded by 0.2%, the same pace at which it was contracted earlier. Investors anticipated a stagnant growth on a year-over-year basis. Meanwhile, the monthly GDP growth for March was 0.4%, stronger than the consensus of 0.1% and the prior reading of 0.2%, upwardly revised from 0.1%.

Upbeat GDP growth would allow the Bank of England (BoE) to achieve a ‘soft landing’. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey commented in the press conference after the monetary policy statement that the central bank is confident that inflation will return to target in the coming months. A soft landing is a scenario in which the central bank achieves the price stability without triggering a recession.


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