Daily Digest Market Movers: Japanese Yen might struggle to build on its strength amid BoJ rate-hike uncertainty

avatar
· 阅读量 128


  • According to a Reuters poll, a slim majority of economists expect that the Bank of Japan will forgo raising interest rates again this year amid uncertainty over the new political leadership's preference for the monetary policy.
  • Data published by Japan's Ministry of Finance on Thursday showed that total exports in September dropped 1.7% from a year earlier as compared to a revised 5.5% rise in the previous month and missing consensus estimates.
  • Soft demand in China – Japan's biggest trading partner – and a slowing US growth, along with the JPY's recent appreciation following the BoJ’s unexpected interest rate hike in late July, pushed down the value of exports. 
  • This could further complicate the BoJ's rate-hike plans and cap any meaningful appreciating move for the JPY, though persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East might offer support.
  • The United Nations (UN) said that Israeli forces have fired at its peacekeeping position, forcibly entered a base, stopped a critical logistical movement, and injured more than a dozen of its troops in southern Lebanon.
  • According to a source familiar with the matter, Israel’s plan of a counterstrike in response to Iran’s October 1 attack is ready, raising the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East and a broader regional war. 
  • The US Dollar rose to its highest level since early August on Wednesday amid firming expectations for a less aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve and bets for a 25 basis points rate cut at the November meeting. 
  • The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond dropped to over a one-week low on Wednesday, albeit it defends the 4.0% threshold, which favors the USD bulls and should offer support to the USD/JPY pair. 
  • Traders look to the US economic docket – featuring the release of monthly Retail Sales, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index – for some impetus later during the North American session.


风险提示:本文所述仅代表作者个人观点,不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证,对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为,不承担任何责任,除非另有书面明确说明。

喜欢的话,赞赏支持一下
回复 0
暂无评论。 来发表第一条观点吧。

  • tradingContest