- Republican former US President Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris are caught in a tight race for the White House, fueling political uncertainty and pushing the Gold price to a fresh record high on Wednesday.
- An Israeli strike on a residential building in northern Gaza killed nearly 100 people on Tuesday. This comes days after the Israeli military confirmed on Sunday that the air force had conducted a precise strike targeting Hamas fighters.
- The development raises the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East and contributes to the bid tone surrounding the safe-haven XAU/USD, offsetting the recent surge in the US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar.
- The incoming US macro data suggested that the US economy remains on a strong footing, reaffirming market expectations for a less aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve and the prospects for smaller interest rate cuts.
- The Conference Board reported on Tuesday the US Consumer Confidence Index registered its largest single-month gain since March 2021 and rose to a nine-month high of 108.7 in October, from September's upwardly revised 99.2.
- This reflected optimism in business conditions and the job market, overshadowing the disappointing Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS report, which showed that vacancies fell to more than a 3-1/2-year low in September.
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