EBC Markets Briefing | Wall St edged up but rate hike cycle weighs

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EBC Markets Briefing | Wall St edged up but rate hike cycle weighs

The S&P 500 ended marginally up on Friday after US and Iranian negotiators were exploring a phased path out of war. Despite that, Iran will make no nuclear concessions, Iranian official says.

EBC Markets Briefing | Wall St edged up but rate hike cycle weighs

US stocks historically experience a period of weakness whenever the Fed begins a new cycle of interest rate hikes. Rate setters signalled there could be another rate hike by the end of the year.

The market proves resilient as robust corporate profits have outweighed risks including spiking oil prices and rising bond yields. Still investors are bracing for potential downside in the near term.

The current hiking cycle is expected to be relatively short and shallow compared to the previous ones. Treasury yields have pushed past the key 5% threshold, hitting their highest levels in nearly two decades.

Goldman Sachs noted AI users would need to generate approximately $1 trillion in annual spending on AI applications to ensure that hyperscalers achieve solid returns on investment.

JPMorgan Chase estimated in June that $4.1 trillion in AI-related debt will be issued through 2030, as data centre companies and others tied to the artificial intelligence boom race to build up capacity.

EBC Markets Briefing | Wall St edged up but rate hike cycle weighs

EBC Financial Group analyst says that the S&P 500 was fundamentally in a "breakout or fakeout" junction. A clean daily close above 7,736 would expose 7,800, otherwise it could retreat towards the 50 SMA.


Asset Recap

As of market close on 25 September, among EBC major products, Aehr Test Systems shares led gains. Oppenheimer initiated coverage on the company with an Outperform rating and a $120 price target.

EBC Markets Briefing | Wall St edged up but rate hike cycle weighs

Intel shares were sliding, giving back a slice of one of this year's most extraordinary runs among large-cap technology names. The plain reading of the session was profit taking.

Oil prices dropped, driven down by growing expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire and rumours of a potential US ban on diesel exports. However, Houthi rebel launched fresh attacks on Saudi Arabia.

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EBC Financial Group Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC Global Financial Collaboration or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

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