TS Score: +0.41
Composite: -1.39
COT Score: -1.22
Conviction: Medium bearish
Technical view:
Bearish bias is valid if price rejects the HTF OB / resistance area and fails to hold above it. A 4H rejection or bearish displacement from this zone would support continuation lower.
Potential downside targets:
T1: 0.8580–0.8550
T2: 0.8520–0.8470
Extended: 0.8380 if GBP strength dominates
Invalidation:
A clean 4H close above the marked HTF supply area weakens the bearish idea.
Short macro support:
GBP is stronger than EUR in the TS framework. EURGBP downside remains favoured if GBP relative strength continues.
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