TS Score: +0.30
Composite: -2.08
COT Score: -2.20
Conviction: High bearish
Technical view:
Bearish bias remains valid while price stays below the HTF OB / resistance area. A rejection from the current resistance zone or failure to reclaim above it supports downside continuation.
Potential downside targets:
T1: 0.5530–0.5510
T2: 0.5480–0.5450
Extended: 0.5420 if bearish momentum expands
Invalidation:
A 4H close above the HTF OB / resistance zone weakens the bearish setup.
Short macro support:
AUD is risk-sensitive and weak in the TS framework, while CHF has defensive support. This is one of the cleaner bearish macro/COT expressions.
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